Arsenal Looking to Hold Onto Standing
The Premier League continues next week! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have a very interesting contest on Wednesday, when Arsenal hosts Norwich City.
Arsenal beat Southampton 2-0 on the road last Thursday while Norwich City lost 1-0 at home against Everton on Wednesday. Arsenal is ninth place in the standings with 43 points in 31 games while Norwich City is at the bottom with just 21 points in 31 games, desperate to get a win and try to avoid relegation.
Let’s take a closer look at what the pick is in this matchup.
Betting Odds By RealBookies
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Arsenal: -198
Norwich City: +570
Draw: +359
Spread
Arsenal: -1 (-114)
Norwich City: +1 (+105)
Total
Over 2¾ (-104)
Under 2¾ (-104)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6:
Arsenal, coming off a 2-0 road win against Southampton, have four wins, two losses and zero draws in their last six Premier League games. Norwich City, coming a 1-0 home loss against Everton have five losses, one win and zero draws in their last six Premier League games.
Momentum: Norwich City has been on a downward trend — losing five of their last six games in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Premier League action on December 1, 2019 and the game ended on a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
Simulations I have run project Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Edward Nketiah, Teemu Pukki, Emiliano Buendía and Ondrej Duda as the players most likely to score (three of these five players are from Norwich City).
There is a 20.1 percent chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw, Arsenal, at 61.1 percent, are heavy favorites to beat Norwich City, who have an 18.8 percent chance to win on the road.
The leading scorer for Arsenal is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang with a 70 percent chance of getting one or more goals. When he has at least one goal, Arsenal has a 73.0 percent chance to win.
Can we trust the home club in this spot? The Gunners have been one of the biggest disappointments this season but they’re facing a Norwich City team that is reeling. There’s a reason why Norwich City is in last place, pretty much destined for relegation. Arsenal is the better team and they will prove it on Wednesday.
Soccer Pick: Arsenal: -1 (-114)
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