MLB Trend Betting Can be Profitable
MLB betting trends are starting to appear, and it’s time to make some money from them.
Key Points
– There are numerous profitable betting opportunities in a season for MLB bettors.
– MLB bettors can take advantage of a number of trends that include betting certain ballparks or against certain pitchers.
A Look at MLB Betting Trends
Betting on Major League Baseball is becoming more popular, as it should. MLB offers bettors a trove of opportunity with its 162-game schedule.
Bettors have over 2,400 chances to wager on individual games and thousands more when you consider props, specials, the postseason, and futures bets.
If you don’t have much experience in betting baseball, what are the early MLB betting trends to profit from? We identify a few here.
Plus-Money Underdogs
Underdogs typically win four times out of every nine games. In any given season, underdogs win between 37 and 44 percent of the time. Most baseball sportsbooks don’t account for this.
Betting plus-money underdogs can pay off in a big way. The great thing is that bettors don’t have to win even half of their bets to turn a profit.
An underdog of +100 to +150 has a stronger chance of pulling the upset. Road underdogs playing a division opponent win at a much higher clip than underdogs playing a non-division opponent.
Road divisional underdogs in a game with a total of 8.5 or higher win at an even higher clip.
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Fade Bad Pitching – MLB Betting Trends
Teams that lack strong pitching staff tend to give up a lot of runs. In a given season, one MLB team recorded a collective team ERA of 5.96. That’s pretty high.
That team also gave up 5.83 runs per game and struggled to win 40 percent of its games. It’s easy to overthink sometimes, but bad pitching usually results in losses. Take the opportunity to fade bad pitching especially against strong hitting teams.
Are you looking for a new place to bet on sports? Here’s what to look for in sportsbook reviews.
Bet the Under Here, Where?
There are a handful of stadiums across MLB that see more Unders than other venues. Surprisingly, Wrigley Field is one of them.
When the wind blows off Lake Michigan and in toward home plate, that is a bonus for pitchers. Typically that happens at the beginning of the season and near the end as the weather cools down. Wrigley Field sees about 57 percent of games there go Under the total.
Oakland Coliseum has more foul territory than any other stadium in the majors. As a result, it sees more fly balls caught for outs and games go Under at about a 54 percent clip.
Speaking of MLB betting trends. Do you live bet baseball games? Learn about it if you don’t. It’s fun, exciting and profitable.
Bet the Over Here
Many bettors think betting the Over at Coors Field is an easy bet. While it’s among the more hitter-friendly parks, its dimensions were adjusted a few years ago and oddsmakers have become very good at setting lines.
One of the best parks to bet the Over is Fenway in Boston. Its short dimensions in left field account for plenty of Overs. Over the last four to five seasons, the Over has hit at roughly 54 percent in games at Fenway Park.
The Over also hits around 54 percent at Nationals Park in D.C. and around 53 percent at Petco Park in San Diego.
