Last updated on April 1st, 2024 at 03:47 pm
The Houston Texans qualified for the NFL AFC Wild Card. Thus, they will face the Cleveland Browns on Saturday, January 13. Here are our betting predictions and picks for the Browns vs. Texans Wild Card match. Ensure you know how to bet on football to win consistently.
The unexpected outcomes of Week 18 ensured the Texans’ AFC South title and home-field advantage in the postseason. Cleveland is the betting favorite with a 2.5-point Wild Card advantage and +3,500 odds for the Super Bowl. Additionally, they have decided to back the away team in this matchup.
Browns vs Texans Betting Picks and Analysis
Devin Singletary must take a burden off rookie running back CJ Stroud to prolong the Houston Texans’ run game against the Wild Card Round. Also, the defense will rely on their strong ground game to protect the rookie quarterback against the Cleveland Browns’ explosive passing game. Among NFL teams, the Browns’ pass rush ranks near the bottom.
Singletary’s unimpressive performance (44 yards on nine tries) and the Texans’ early choice not to run the ball with Stroud at quarterback led them to fall behind Cleveland in Week 16.
Notwithstanding this, Singletary had a touchdown-worthy 17-yard run in the first quarter that the Browns safety would have recovered from if he had not tripped on a shoestring. His average rushing yardage was 4.9.
A glaring hole in Cleveland’s defense is its ability to impede runs. The Browns are first in run-stop victory percentage, yet they rank 20th in this advanced measure, and their EPA allowed per handoff is about average. This trend began in Week 12.
NFL AFC Wild Card Predictions
Game Time: January 13, 2024 at 4:30 PM ET
Bet on the Houston Texans at +2.5
This week, CJ Stroud will not be benched as he was on Christmas Eve when Joe Flacco and Amari Cooper pounded the Texans 36-22 in Houston. Though the Browns are more seasoned and the Texans are younger, Houston will use what it learned in their last game to secure a home victory in Saturday’s wildcard showdown.
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