it’s that time of the year again where the best NFL teams go head-to-head for a Super Bowl game spot. This year, the Washington Commanders, the Philadelphia Eagles, the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs are fighting it out in the NFL Conference Championship. However, there can only by 2 teams that make it to Super Bowl LIX. In this NFL Football Betting predictions, we give you our Bills vs Chiefs Conference Championship Pick and analysis.
On Sunday, the Buffalo Bills will travel to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City to compete against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. The Bills secured a victory over the Baltimore Ravens with a score of 27-25 on Sunday night during the AFC divisional round, following a prior win against the Denver Broncos, where they triumphed 31-7 in the wildcard round. Looking back at the regular season, Buffalo has emerged victorious in five of their last six games, with their only defeat occurring against New England in a match that held no playoff significance.
Bills vs Chiefs NFL Conference Championship Betting Odds
Last year’s Super Bowl winner, the Chiefs are the favorite to win with a -122 moneyline. However, bookies expect this to be a close game with 1.5 point spread. At the moment, the public opinion is that the Chiefs will win but not be able to cover. In addition, many people are betting on the over. However, the public betting on this game is not expected to put any pressure on sportsbooks who are getting ready for the Super Bowl.
| Team | Pointspread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Buffalo Bills | +1.5 (-108) | O48.5 (-105) | +104 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 (-112) | U48.5 (-115) | -122 |
*Odds are a courtesy of BetOnline.ag
**Odds may change at any time
Bills vs Chiefs Conference Championship Predictions and Analysis for 1/26/2025
In two playoff contests, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen has accumulated 399 passing yards, achieving two touchdowns without any interceptions. Running back James Cook has recorded 187 rushing yards and one touchdown, maintaining an average of 4.7 yards per carry. Khalil Shakir leads the receiving corps with 128 yards, averaging 10.7 yards per reception, although he has not secured any touchdown receptions during the postseason. Buffalo’s defense has registered four sacks and one interception throughout the playoffs.
The Kansas City Chiefs aim to advance to Super Bowl LIX with a home victory on Sunday against Buffalo in the AFC Championship game. Kansas City enjoyed a bye during the wildcard round and triumphed over the Houston Texans with a score of 23-14 in the AFC divisional round. In their recent performances, Kansas City has secured six victories in their last seven games, with the only defeat occurring against Denver in a match that held no playoff significance.
In a single playoff game, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 177 yards and one touchdown, although he faced three sacks during the victory against Houston. Running back Kareem Hunt contributed with 44 rushing yards and one touchdown in the playoffs. Tight end Travis Kelce recorded 117 receiving yards along with one touchdown reception. The Chiefs’ defense excelled with eight quarterback sacks against Houston, but did not achieve any interceptions.
Bills vs Chiefs Conference Championship Pick
Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs at -1.5
According to the Bwager.com sports betting software data, the Chiefs have experienced only two losses this season. It took place during Week 18 when they opted to rest their key players against the Denver Broncos. The other defeat took place in Week 11 during their visit to Buffalo, where they fell short with a score of 30-21.
The contest remained closely contested for a significant portion of the second half until Allen secured a 26-yard rushing touchdown with just 2 minutes and 17 seconds left, giving the Bills a nine-point lead.
The upcoming AFC Championship Game is expected to be equally competitive, if not more so. The last playoff encounter between these two teams was in last year’s Divisional Round, where Kansas City narrowly triumphed with a score of 27-24.
This time, however, the trend may shift. The Bills possess a genuine opportunity to finally overcome the Chiefs in the playoffs, rather than merely in the regular season.
However, the Chiefs are looking for revenge after their earlier defeat to the Buffalo Bills during the regular season. In their AFC divisional round matchup, Kansas City limited Houston to just 14 points, although they would have exceeded the spread had they not conceded a safety in the closing moments while holding an 11-point lead, ultimately winning by nine. Previously, Kansas City suffered a 30-21 loss to Buffalo in Week 11, but they have since achieved a record of 7-1 in their subsequent games.
Thus, we predict the Kansas City Chiefs will Win and cover the Spread with a final score of 28-24.
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